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Is That The First (And Only?) Coronavirus Stock Bottom?

By:
Tomasz Wiśniewski
Published: Feb 26, 2020, 14:05 UTC

As for now, DAX and SP500 are trying to establish first, Covid-19 fear induced bottom. I have to admit that it is going pretty well and on a daily chart, in both cases, we have beautiful pin bars.

Is That The First (And Only?) Coronavirus Stock Bottom?

Situation on the world indexes is very dynamic. We wrote a piece about DAX and SP500 on Monday, when the sell-off was just after the take off. Bears did not lose the momentum on Tuesday and entered Wednesday with a very convincing slide (during the early hours of the European session). Stock Markets are not the bottomless wells though. Here, many traders love to catch falling knifes, cats (like in a dead cat bounce) etc. This is what we can witness today, in the middle of the European session.

As for now, DAX and SP500 are trying to establish first, Covid-19 fear induced bottom. I have to admit that it is going pretty well and on a daily chart, in both cases, we have beautiful pin bars. Hammers to be accurate. Should we be surprised? Yes and No. Yes, as SP500 broke already two major supports mentioned here on Monday (3210 points and major up trendline). Also, Dax managed to break the crucial 12900 support. No, as DAX is bouncing from a major up trendline and no, because V-shape reversals is what Stock traders do. We can say, that in the past 10 years it became their favorite movement. Crème de la crème of the Stock trading. We have already witnessed several sharp selloffs and after that, even more aggressive buying fiestas. If from those lows, we would make new all-time highs in a week, probably nobody would be surprised. Well at least those who are on the market longer than a year.

We should not get too optimistic though. The daily candle is not finished yet. Its good for a start but to establish a bottom, we need to keep the price around the current levels or higher. I think that in the current situation, only proper hammer can stop the panic. Daily hammer candle on the SP500 and DAX should definitely attract many investors spooked in the past few days. Some prices started to look pretty attractive, right?

About the Author

During his career, Tomasz has held over 400 webinars, live seminars and lectures across Poland. He is also an academic lecturer at Kozminski University. In his previous work, Tomasz initiated live trading programs, where he traded on real accounts, showing his transactions, providing signals and special webinars for his clients.

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