Silver markets have gapped a bit higher during the open on Thursday, rallied significantly, and then pulled back. At this point, we are facing the same resistance as before.
Silver markets have gapped higher during the trading session on Thursday as we continue to see a lot of volatility in the markets overall. Silver is volatile under the best of conditions, so it does make a lot of sense that this market finds itself trying to jump to the $22 level again. The $22 level is an area that has been like a magnet for price, so it would not surprise me at all to see a bit of hesitation. If we were to break above there, then the market has to deal with the 50 Day EMA as well.
All things being equal, this is a market that continues to find quite a bit of downward pressure, especially as we have just formed a major “H pattern.” If we were to break above the 50 Day EMA, then it could open up a bigger move, and breaking above the $23 level could turn the whole thing around. That being said though, the market is likely to see a lot of influence from the bond market, and of course the US dollar. Pay attention to the US Dollar Index, it has a huge negative correlation to silver most of the time.
On the downside, the market breaking down below the $20.50 level opens up fresh selling, and perhaps an attempt to get down to the $20 level. Breaking there opens up significant selling pressure again and sends the silver market into a tailspin. At this point, I believe that it is more likely than not going to be a “fade the rallies” type of marketplace.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.