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U.S. Dollar Attempts To Rebound After Sell-Off: Analysis For EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY

By
Vladimir Zernov
Published: Aug 20, 2026, 16:47 GMT+00:00
Live PriceEUR/USD

$1.16734

-0.01%

Key Points:

  • GBP/USD moved higher as rally continued.
  • USD/CAD pulled back as traders reacted to the rally in the oil markets.
  • USD/JPY rebounded towards 159.00 as traders focused on rising Treasury yields.
EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY Forecasts
In this article:

U.S. Dollar Gains Ground As Traders Buy The Dip

DXY 200826 4h Chart

U.S. Dollar Index attempts to rebound after the strong sell-off, which was triggered by Treasury’s decision to boost buybacks of long-dated bonds.

Today, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent indicated that Treasury could increase buybacks to more than $4 billion per issue.

Traders also focused on the Initial Jobless Claims report. The report indicated that 206,000 Americans filed for unemployment benefits in a week, compared to analyst forecast of 210,000.

U.S. Dollar Index failed to settle below the support level at 98.60 – 98.75 and is moving towards the 99.00 level. In case U.S. Dollar Index climbs above 99.00, it will head towards the nearest resistance at 99.25 – 99.40. A move above 99.40 will push U.S. Dollar Index towards the 50 MA at 99.58.

EUR/USD Is Mostly Flat Amid Profit-Taking

EUR/USD 200826 4h Chart

EUR/USD is mostly flat as traders take some profits off the table and react to Germany’s PPI report. The report indicated that PPI increased by +3% year-over-year, compared to analyst forecast of +2.7%.

From the technical point of view, EUR/USD attempts to settle above the resistance level at 1.1685 – 1.1700. If EUR/USD moves above the 1.1700 level, it will head towards the next resistance at 1.1775 – 1.1790.

GBP/USD Tests Resistance At 1.3635 – 1.3650

GBP/USD 200826 4h Chart

GBP/USD tested new highs as rally continued. Traders bet that Treasury’s bond buybacks will put additional pressure on the American currency.

Currently, GBP/USD is trying to settle above the resistance level at 1.3635 – 1.3650. In case this attempt is successful, GBP/USD will move towards the next resistance, which is located in the 1.3720 – 1.3735 range.

USD/CAD Tests New Lows

USD/CAD 200826 4h Chart

USD/CAD remains under pressure as traders focus on rising oil prices. Other commodity-related currencies are mixed in today’s trading session.

In Canada, traders focus on the New Housing Price Index report. The report showed that new housing prices decreased by -0.1% month-over-month in July, compared to analsyt forecast of 0%.

The nearest support level for USD/CAD is located in the 1.3735 – 1.3750. A successful test of this level will push USD/CAD towards the support level at 1.3635 – 1.3650.

On the upside, a move above the 1.3800 level will open the way to the test of the resistance level at 1.3825 – 1.3840. RSI has recently moved out of the oversold territory, so there is plenty of room to gain momentum in case the right catalysts emerge.

USD/JPY Gains Ground As Treasury Yields Rise

USD/JPY 200826 4h Chart

USD/JPY rebounds as traders focus on rising Treasury yields. The yield of 2-year Treasuries climbed towards the 4.20% level, while the yield of 10-year Treasrueis settled above 4.70%. Treasury yields are moving higher despite Bessent’s efforts to push them lower as bond traders remain worried about long-term rate outlook.

If USD/JPY climbs above the 50 MA at 159.18, it will move towards the nearest resistance level at 159.50 – 160.00. A move above 160.00 will push USD/JPY towards the 162.00 level. It remains to be seen whether BoJ is ready to intervene in case USD/JPY climbs above the psychologically important 160.00 level.

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About the Author

Vladimir ZernovFutures Trading Expert

Vladimir is an independent trader, with over 18 years of experience in the financial markets. His expertise spans a wide range of instruments like stocks, futures, forex, indices, and commodities, forecasting both long-term and short-term market movements.

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