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U.S. Dollar Tests New Highs As ISM Manufacturing PMI Beats Estimates: Analysis For EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY

By
Vladimir Zernov
Published: Feb 2, 2026, 16:46 GMT+00:00

The American currency continues to move away from yearly lows.

EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY Forecasts

U.S. Dollar Gains Ground At The Start Of The Week

DXY 020226 4h Chart

U.S. Dollar Index continues to rebound as traders focus on the better-than-expected ISM Manufacturing PMI report. The report indicated that ISM Manufacturing PMI increased from 47.9 in December to 52.6 in January, compared to analyst forecast of 48.5.

In case U.S. Dollar Index stays above the resistance at 97.10 – 97.25, it will head towards the next resistance level, which is located in the 98.00 – 98.15 range.

EUR/USD Attempts To Settle Below 1.1800

EUR/USD 020226 4h Chart

EUR/USD remains under pressure despite the better-than-expected Retail Sales reprot from Germany. The report showed that Retail Sales increased by +0.1% month-over-month in December, compared to analyst forecast of -0.2%.

Currently, EUR/USD is trying to settle below the support at 1.1835 – 1.1850. In case this attempt is successful, EUR/USD will move towards the next support level, which is located in the 1.1750 – 1.1765 range.

GBP/USD Retreats As Pullback Continues

GBP/USD 020226 4h Chart

GBP/USD is moving lower as traders continue to take profits after the recent rally.

A move below the 50 MA at 1.3662 will open the way to the test of the next support at 1.3570 – 1.3585.

USD/CAD Tests New Highs Amid Sell-Off In Commodity Markets

USD/CAD 020226 4h Chart

USD/CAD attempts to settle above the resistance at 1.3650 – 1.3665 as traders react to the sell-off in commodity markets.

If USD/CAD stays above the 1.3665 level, it will move towards the next resistance at 1.3750 – 1.3765.

USD/JPY Tests the 155.00 Level As Treasury Yields Rise

USD/JPY 020226 4h Chart

USD/JPY climbed above the 155.00 level as traders focused on rising Treasury yields. The yield of 2-year Treasuries moved above 3.55%, while the yield of 10-year Treasuries settled above the 4.25% level. From a big picture point of view, USD/JPY continues to recover after the sell-off, which was triggered by intervention risks.

A successful test of the resistance at 154.50 – 155.00 will push USD/JPY towards the next resistance at 158.00 – 158.50.

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About the Author

Vladimir is an independent trader, with over 18 years of experience in the financial markets. His expertise spans a wide range of instruments like stocks, futures, forex, indices, and commodities, forecasting both long-term and short-term market movements.

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