XRP News Today: Traders on Edge as US–Iran Talks, Quantum Debate Collide

XRP (XRP) whipsawed alongside broader risk assets as traders repositioned ahead of US-Iran talks, with oil rebounding and stock futures turning lower after a relief rally earlier this week.

US–Iran Talks Keep XRP Traders On Edge

The XRP/USD exchange rate was wobbling between gains and losses on Friday, still up 4.35% from its weekly low of $1.29.

Brent climbed back toward $98 a barrel as the Strait of Hormuz remained severely disrupted, with traffic at less than 10% of normal levels and Barclays warning that delayed flow normalization could keep crude elevated.

At the same time, Dow futures fell 0.4%, S&P 500 futures slipped 0.3%, and Nasdaq 100 futures lost 0.2% as investors questioned whether the ceasefire would hold.

In that macro setup, XRP remains highly headline-sensitive: peace signals tend to lift risk appetite, while renewed disruption in oil and equities quickly revives downside pressure across high-beta tokens.

XRP’s Quantum Risk May Be Lower Than Bitcoin’s, Experts Say

XRP may be less exposed to quantum computing risks than Bitcoin, according to recent commentary from XRP Ledger validator Vet and Ripple engineer Mayukha Vadari.

Vet said roughly 300,000 XRPL accounts holding about 2.4 billion XRP have never sent funds, meaning their public keys have never been exposed on-chain and are therefore less vulnerable to a future quantum attack.

He added that only two long-dormant whale accounts holding a combined 21 million XRP appear materially exposed, or about 0.03% of the circulating supply.

The relative advantage, experts say, comes from XRPL’s account-based design, which allows signing key rotation without moving funds.

Vadari also noted that escrowed XRP protected by time locks adds another layer of defense, at least until funds become claimable.

By contrast, Bitcoin holders must move coins to new addresses to reduce exposure, a process that can briefly reveal public keys and increase the theoretical risk of attack.

XRP Is Likely In Bottoming Range, On-Chain Data Shows

XRP’s MVRV Z-score is hovering near zero, a level that historically aligns with accumulation zones and market bottoms.

This indicates that most holders are close to breakeven, reducing sell pressure and signaling potential downside exhaustion. Similar patterns appeared in 2015, 2018, and 2020 before major rallies.

However, the current setup lacks a sharp capitulation spike or a strong upward reversal in the Z-score, meaning confirmation is still pending.

Overall, XRP appears to be forming a base, with limited downside risk, but a sustained recovery will require a clear shift in momentum and a breakout above key resistance levels.

US Liquidity Breakout Makes Bullish Case For XRP

A breakout in US liquidity is adding to the case for a broader recovery across risk assets, including XRP.

Market watchers note that Fed net liquidity has pushed above a multiyear downtrend after ranging for roughly four years, marking a setup similar to late 2022, when improving liquidity conditions coincided with a major crypto bottom.

The signal is gaining importance as US PMI remains in expansion territory, pointing to a firmer macro backdrop.

For XRP, the implication is straightforward: if liquidity continues improving, downside pressure across speculative assets could ease, increasing the odds of a stronger rebound later this year.