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Natural Gas Weekly Price Forecast – Natural Gas Continues to Consolidate in a Basing Pattern

By: 
Christopher Lewis

The natural gas market had a tough week again, as we are still trying to roll over into colder weather in the United States. With this, we still see some choppiness.

Natural Gas Technical Analysis

Weekly natural gas futures chart at 2.934, trading below both moving averages after a sharp spike in early 2026.
Natural gas futures weekly chart showing price at 2.934, below both EMAs and the 3.000 level, after the sharp spike in early 2026. Source: TradingView.

The natural gas market has fallen pretty significantly during the course of the week, but we still remain somewhat in the same range we’ve been in for a while. Ultimately, this is a market that has been very attracted to the $3 level, and it’s probably worth noting that $3, being a large, round, psychologically significant figure, does make a certain amount of sense. This is also a market that might get a lot of momentum based on the idea that the Europeans may be running a little short on energy

November Can Bring Change as Weather Cools

Ultimately, this is a market that is now trading the November contract, and we will start to think about the idea of perhaps colder temperatures coming to the United States, and that could drive up demand.

That being said, this is also a market that might get a lot of momentum based on the idea that the Europeans may be running a little short on energy, and if that ends up being the case this winter, then more liquefied natural gas will be exported out of the United States.

We are in that time of year where we start to think more along the lines of buying rather than selling, so I do like the idea of buying dips. But I also recognize that we’re not quite to that point of year yet where we start to see a lot of momentum.

We’re still in this massive basing pattern at the moment, and I don’t think that’s changed, at least not quite yet. Watching weather forecasts in the US will be a big part of strategy currently.

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About the Author

Christopher LewisSenior Analyst

Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.

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