The silver market continues to see a lot of choppy behavior, as traders are watching interest rates very closely, as well as the peace talks in Pakistan this weekend between the USA and Iran.
The silver market continues to be quite choppy, and I think that’s probably going to be the story here as the interest rates in the United States and the 10-year yield continue to hover around that crucial 4.30% level.
That’s an area that I think ultimately will determine risk appetite. Above it, things get squirrelly and risk appetite disappears. Below it, risk appetite returns. And that makes a lot of sense, considering that over the weekend, we are going to have talks between the Iranians and the Americans in Pakistan.
A ceasefire would go a long way for risk appetite and that would send silver higher, all things being equal. The 50-day EMA sits just above and is causing a little bit of resistance, but above that, we have the $80 level, an area that’s probably even more important as it’s proven to be so a couple of times now. Because of this, it is, at least for the short term, one of the more important levels to watch on the charts.
A pullback from here could see support at the $70 level. We’ll just have to wait and see. I do think you have a situation where traders are probably going to hesitate to do anything massive here. And speaking of which, if you do find yourself in this market, the only way to protect yourself, of course, is a reasonable position size. A headline coming out at any time could send this market flying, and as a result, safety is paramount in silver at the moment.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.