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Silver Price Forecast: Rising Rates Put Range Support at Risk

By
Christopher Lewis

Silver tests the bottom of its $63.50–$70 range as rising U.S. rates pressure prices, with a breakdown potentially bringing $60 support into focus.

Silver Technical Analysis

Daily candlestick chart of Silver futures testing support near $64 between flat 50-day and 200-day EMAs.
Silver daily price chart showing range-bound trading around $64.00 as rising 10-year US Treasury yields limit upside momentum.

The silver market has fallen a bit during the early part of the trading session here on Thursday as we are reaching the bottom of a range that we have been in, and the 50-day EMA as well as the 200-day EMA are both flat.

The real story here, of course, is that interest rates are punishing the silver market. Silver does not typically like higher interest rates. One thing that is giving silver a little bit of a buffer, though, is the fact that there’s so much in the way of demand for silver, and production is not growing to fill that demand.

Positive Outlook

Silver is still likely to be in demand over the long term.

So, longer term, I still believe in silver, and I still believe that silver will be one of our more bullish markets given enough time. The problem right now is the interest-rate behavior, how it is very explosive and just doesn’t look like it’s calming down.

Most of this is due to energy concerns and energy supply issues, which could cause massive energy inflation. So, it really has nothing to do with silver itself. It’s about oil and natural gas.

So, with that being the case, it’s unfortunate, but it does look like silver is going to struggle to take off. If we can bounce from here, then we might stay in that same little bit of a consolidation area between $63.50 and $70. If we break down, I suspect we might see some support near $60 based on the psychology of it and the fact that it was a cluster of trading previously.

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About the Author

Christopher LewisSenior Analyst

Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.

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