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TSMC’s Strong Earnings Send Shares Upward

By: 
Lucas Downey
Wall Street buildings and US flag

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., Ltd. (TSM) shares up 4,341% since Big Money bought big in 1999.

TSM is the leading contract semiconductor manufacturer in the world, taking other companies’ chip designs and turning them into finished products. The company’s second-quarter fiscal 2026 report showed $40.2 billion in quarterly revenue (a 36% year-over-year gain), a gross margin of 67.7% (an improvement of 150 basis points), and increased revenue full-year guidance to over 40% higher than the prior year.

No wonder TSM shares are up 51% so far this year – and they could rise more. MoneyFlows data shows how Big Money investors are again betting heavily on the stock.

Institutions Love TSMC

Institutional volumes reveal plenty. In the last year, TSM has enjoyed strong investor demand, which we believe to be institutional support.

Each green bar signals unusually large volumes in TSM shares. They reflect our proprietary inflow signal, pushing the stock higher:

Line-and-area stock chart tracks Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., Ltd. Sponsored ADR (TSM) from Oct 8, 2025, to Oct 8, 2026, showing volatile growth from about $290 to nearly $450. Blue price line and shaded area include green inflow markers and magenta outflow markers, with major peaks around Jul and Oct 2026.
TSM shares are up 50.4% in a year thanks to flurries of strong institutional buying. Source: www.moneyflows.com

Plenty of technology names are under accumulation right now. But there’s a powerful fundamental story happening with TSMC.

TSMC Fundamental Analysis

Institutional support and a healthy fundamental backdrop make this company worth investigating. As you can see, TSM has had strong sales and earnings growth:

  • 3-year sales growth rate (+19%)
  • 3-year EPS growth rate (+21.9%)

Source: FactSet

Also, EPS is estimated to ramp higher this year by +31.8%.

Now it makes sense why the stock has been generating Big Money interest. TSM has a track record of strong financial performance.

Marrying great fundamentals with MoneyFlows software has found some big winning stocks over the long term.

TSMC recently became a top-rated stock at MoneyFlows. That means the stock has unusual buy pressure and growing fundamentals. We have a ranking process that showcases stocks like this on a weekly basis.

The stock has drawn 14 Big Money outlier inflow signals since 1999, rising 4,341% since the first one. The blue bars below show when TSM was an institutional target in the last three years…Big Money keeps buying:

Line chart tracking Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., Ltd. Sponsored ADR (TSM) stock performance from October 8, 2023, to October 8, 2026. Blue price line rises from roughly $80 to nearly $470, with notable volatility and teal outlier-inflow markers; legend also identifies yellow outlier outflows.
TSM shares have attracted 14 institutional outlier inflow signals since 1999, including recently, rising 4,341% in that time. Source: www.moneyflows.com

Tracking unusual volumes reveals the power of money flows.

This is a trait that most outlier stocks exhibit…the best of the best. Big Money demand drives stocks upward.

TSMC Price Prediction

The TSM action isn’t new at all. Big Money buying in the shares is signaling to take notice. Given the historical gains in share price and strong fundamentals, this stock could be worth a spot in a diversified portfolio.

Disclosure: the author holds no position in TSM at the time of publication.

If you are a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA) or a serious investor, take your investing to the next level. MoneyFlows created 11 Frontiers indexes to help serious investors capture AI-driven themes and learn the leading stocks in each Frontier. Get started here.

About the Author

Lucas Downeycontributor

Lucas is a well-versed equity investor and educator. He currently is co-founder of research and analytics firm, MAPsignals.com, which focuses on finding outlier stocks by following the Big Money.

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