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US Automakers Forecast – Earnings Reactions Trigger Divergent Setups

By: 
Christopher Lewis

US automakers look a bit soft in premarket trading.

TSLA Technical Analysis

Daily TSLA chart at 298.32, gapping sharply lower below its 50- and 200-day EMAs after breaking the 350 level.
TSLA plunges to 298.32, breaking well below its EMAs and 350 support. Source: TradingView

Tesla looks like it might be a little bit positive in premarket trading, but quite frankly, it has fallen so far since the earnings call that I don’t really think much of it. The market is by all accounts oversold, but clearly the traders out there did not like the most recent earnings call, which had a bit of a surprise miss in earnings, although revenue was higher than anticipated.

This is a market that’s testing an area right around $300 that had been important previously, so a technical bounce, I suppose, could be possible, but clearly a huge negative turn in events.

Ford Technical Analysis

Daily Ford chart at 15.28, jumping above the 15 level and its 50- and 200-day EMAs.
Ford rallies to 15.28, breaking above 15 and its EMAs. Source: TradingView

Ford looks like it’s going to be right around where it closed after what had been a very strong open, but we gave back most of the gains and formed a wicked shooting star. The session on Thursday looks like it’s going to start slightly positive, but it certainly gives the impression of a market that is swimming upstream. The $15 level is an area that I would pay attention to, mainly because it’s got a certain amount of psychology attached to it, so we’ll have to see if it retests that again. Ford’s positive, but it looks like it’s going to struggle to keep that type of momentum.

GM Technical Analysis

Daily GM chart at 89.40, surging above its 50- and 200-day EMAs to fresh highs near 92.
GM spikes to 89.40, breaking out well above its EMAs. Source: TradingView

GM has been very strong over the last 5 or 6 sessions. The Wednesday session was a little bit of a giveback. It looks like Thursday might start a little bit soft as well. This is a classic impulsive move higher, maybe a little bit of profit taking, a pullback, that type of thing. I don’t see anything on the chart that suggests it’s in serious trouble. This is just gravity reentering the situation. Pullbacks will, more likely than not, attract those who did not get the opportunity to get involved in the surge higher after earnings.

We’ll have to wait and see, but in general, this even includes Germany; we’ve seen some pretty decent news coming out of the automotive sector overall. So, the United States and Germany are kind of in the same boat here. It looks like automakers are doing fairly well, with maybe the exception of Tesla in this video. So, buyers are certainly still out there looking at these markets.

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About the Author

Christopher LewisSenior Analyst

Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.

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