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Crude Oil Price Analysis – Crude Oil Rises as Trump Rejects Iranian Proposal

By: 
Christopher Lewis

WTI rebounds near its 50-day EMA while Brent holds $100 support, keeping bullish momentum intact and putting $105 and $115 upside levels in focus.

WTI Crude Oil Technical Analysis

Daily candlestick chart of WTI crude oil trading at $95.76, holding above the 50-day EMA at $89.74 and key horizontal support around $85.00.
Daily technical chart of WTI crude oil (CL1!) rebounding from the 50-day EMA at $89.74 toward the $105.00 resistance level.

The light sweet crude oil market continues to show signs of life as we are reacting to Trump saying that he wasn’t going to accept the Iranian proposal, and we’re just back to where we were a couple of days ago. Quite frankly, I think that Friday was probably more or less people getting out of the weekend with a bunch of crude oil contracts in their hands, as we had bounced.

Now, it looks like we have the potential for short-term buyers to defend the 50-day EMA and perhaps try to go to the $105 level. The $85 level underneath is a pretty significant support level.

Brent Technical Analysis

Daily candlestick chart of Brent crude oil trading at $107.95, maintaining position above the $100.00 support level and the 50-day EMA at $96.00.
Daily technical chart of Brent crude oil (BZ1!) consolidating above key support at $100.00 with potential upside toward $115.00.

The Brent market also looks very bullish early on Monday as we continue to see traders recover from the profit-taking on Friday. Now we are in a scenario where we are looking at the $100 level as significant support, a potential market memory level, as it had previously been resistance.

Ultimately, if we can break out to the upside, the market is likely to go looking to the $115 level. I do not want to short this market. I think anytime it drops, we have to wonder whether or not this is going to be a value play, if it gives us an opportunity to pick up a little bit of value and cheap barrels of oil.

Quite frankly, it’s only a matter of time before a bad headline hits these days. So anytime it drops, I think it is specifically more or less offering an opportunity. It doesn’t necessarily mean that we have to explode to the upside, but there’s definitely a little bit of lift here.

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About the Author

Christopher LewisSenior Analyst

Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.

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