The gold market initially gapped higher to kick off the week, with more chaos and uncertainty coming out of the Middle East yet again.
The gold market initially gapped higher to kick off the trading session on Monday but has since pulled back to show signs of weakness. With that being the case, the market is still in a larger consolidation area that extends from $4,200 on the top down to about $3,900 on the bottom, with a lot of attention being paid to the obvious and large, round, psychologically significant figure of $4,000.
Gold is going to continue to be somewhat noisy, from what we can see, based on all of the moving factors out there, including the war in the Middle East, which, of course, at this point in time, is still a series of statements being made through the media that, quite frankly, you can’t trust. So, with that being the case, gold is going to have a hard time proving itself to be what I would call convincing. This is a market that will continue to see a lot of noise attached to it, via external factors that can greatly influence risk appetite.
With that, sideways action makes a lot of sense. The 50-day EMA sitting just above the $4,200 level comes into the picture as technical resistance as well. This figure is a large number, so there will be a certain amount of influence based on that as well.
Ultimately, this is a market that, more likely than not, will have to sort out where it’s going next via some type of external factor. Until we get external certainty, gold, more likely than not, will remain choppy for the foreseeable future, at least until there is pressure from outside the market itself.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.