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Is Ethereum’s Rally Around the Corner?

By:
Dr. Arnout Ter Schure
Published: Sep 20, 2022, 06:45 UTC

Ideally, the anticipated rally to around $3500 should start from $1150-1220, but a direct move above $1555 strongly suggests this rally is already underway.

Ethereum FX Empire

The Correction Is Close To Complete

Last week, see here, I showed by using my short-term Elliott Wave Principle (EWP) count (based on a daily-resolution chart) that

The Bulls are on full watch on a move below $1490 as that will negate a Bullish setup from the late August $1422 lows. Of course, below that low, we can set our sights on $1320-1150 for a rather typical/classic 61.80-76.40% retrace of (red) W-i/a to complete W-ii/b. And so far, the price action since the mid-August high is still corrective. That means the next rally, W-iii/c to ideally $3500, will get underway once the correction is over.

The Bears did not disappoint, and Ethereum (ETH) reached as low as $1282 today. See figure 1 below. The grey arrows are the path I shared last week with my premium crypto trading members to ensure they would stay as well-informed as possible of ETH’s price action. So far, ETH has followed this path to the T.

Figure 1. Ethereum daily chart with detailed EWP count and technical indicators.

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Ethereum Reached $1200+/-100 and Could Rally Soon

Considering Saturday’s price action, there are technically enough waves to view the current leg lower from the (green) W-b high complete. However, and ideally, I would like to see a more pronounced (grey) W-iv and v. Thus, for as long as ETH’s price remains below the (grey) W-i low ($1555), this path should fill in. W-iv should top around $1460+/-30, and W-v should ideally be about $1150-1225. From there, W-iii/c to ideally $3500 should start.

But a rally directly above that $1555 level means (green) W-c of (red) W-ii/b most likely already completed. If that happens, I will set my eyes on the W-iii/c to ~$3500. Thus, either way, there’s nothing in the charts yet to tell me the rally to $3500 will not materialize. It is for now still a matter of “pay me now” vs. “pay me a little bit later.”

About the Author

Dr. Ter Schure founded Intelligent Investing, LLC where he provides detailed daily updates to individuals and private funds on the US markets, Metals & Miners, USD,and Crypto Currencies

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