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Nasdaq, Dow and S&P 500 Forecast: Key Resistance Holds

By
Christopher Lewis

Nasdaq, Dow and S&P 500 remain rangebound as 29,600 and 52,000 cap upside, while elevated U.S. interest rates continue to challenge stocks.

NASDAQ 100 Technical Analysis

Daily candlestick chart of the NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) trading at 29,480.9 above the 50-day EMA at 29,238.6 and horizontal support at 28,500.0.
Daily price chart of the NASDAQ 100 consolidating around 29,480.9 below overhead resistance near 30,000.0. Source: TradingView

The Nasdaq 100 tried to rally a bit during the early part of the session on Friday, but we have seen the market turn back around as it looks like it is trying to stay in the same range it has been in for weeks. The 29,600 level seems to be a bit difficult to break above. The 29,000 area is somewhat supported, so with that and the 50-day EMA being flat, I do not know that much has changed.

Despite the fact that we have had 3 central banks this week, that is actually a very bullish sign.

Dow Jones 30 Technical Analysis

Daily candlestick chart of the Dow Jones 30 (US30) slipping to 51,617.0 below the 50-day EMA at 52,588.61 above support at 51,000.00.
Daily price chart of the Dow Jones 30 pulling back to 51,617.0 after meeting resistance at 52,000.00. Source: TradingView

The Dow Jones 30 tried to rally initially, but it continues to find trouble at the 52,000 level. Pulling back from there suggests that we are still going to struggle a bit. With elevated oil prices, that is not a huge surprise in this index. The 51,000 level underneath continues to offer a potential support level. I think really what we need to see here to get overly bullish is a sustained move above 52,000, maybe even a daily close.

S&P 500 Technical Analysis

Daily candlestick chart of the S&P 500 (SP500) hovering at 7,642.35 right above the 50-day EMA at 7,617.82 and support at 7,500.00.
Daily price chart of the S&P 500 holding near 7,642.35 at the top of its consolidation zone. Source: TradingView

The S&P 500 initially rallied during the early part of the Friday session, but has given back those gains to show signs of exhaustion. We continue to dance around the 7,600 level. What would be particularly interesting for me is how this market behaves after the Europeans leave and it is just American traders.

The interest rate situation in the United States continues to be rather elevated. That does work against stocks, but the fact that we are basically where we have been for the most part of 2 weeks is a bullish sign.

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About the Author

Christopher LewisSenior Analyst

Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.

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