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Tenable Holding (TENB) Price Forecast: Pennant Breakout Targets Record High

By: 
Bruce Powers

Key Points:

  • TENB breaks out of a bullish pennant on strong volume.
  • Reclaiming the 200-week average strengthens bullish momentum.
  • Initial target near $65.47 aligns with the record high.
  • Support at $38.89 and $37.53 could sustain the breakout.
  • A drop below $36.17 would weaken the bullish setup.

Bullish Pennant Breakout Gains Momentum

Tenable Holding, Inc. (TENB), a cybersecurity company, signaled a bullish continuation with an upside breakout from a pennant pattern last week, on a rally above the week’s high. The bullish continuation signal was accompanied by the highest volume in three weeks and followed the convergence of the 20-day and 50-day moving averages prior to the breakout. As the price range narrowed, the moving averages came together, reflecting the compression of price action also evident in the small symmetrical triangle that defines the pennant. During this consolidation buying and selling pressure converge before a breakout signals the next potential directional move.

TENB weekly chart shows decisive breakout of bullish pennant pattern
TENB weekly chart shows decisive breakout of bullish pennant pattern

Long-Term Breakout Adds Conviction

The pennant formed during a bearish correction that followed the July peak of $43.67. At that high TENB was up 177% from the trend low of $15.73 in April. Last week’s breakout was decisive, with the significance of the signal enhanced by the concurrent reclaim of the 200-week moving average. Notably, the 200-week moving average was near the same price level during the breakout week, adding confluence to the bullish signal.

TENB daily chart shows close-up view
TENB daily chart shows close-up view

Record High in Sight, With Higher Targets Ahead

Together, these developments provide two meaningful bullish signals and suggest buyers could remain in control as TENB advances toward higher resistance targets. A classic measuring objective based on the pennant’s preceding advance points to possible upside targets near $65.47 or $104.18. The record high of $63.61 is also an eventual upside target. The first target near $65.47 is particularly notable because it aligns closely with the prior record high, creating an important potential resistance zone.

Support Levels That Could Preserve the Breakout

For now, investors will be watching for the first pullback following the pennant breakout to identify potential trend-continuation opportunities. Areas to watch for support during weakness include a recent resistance shelf near $38.89 and the pennant breakout level of $37.53. A sustained dip below the 50-day moving average near $36.17 could be a cause for concern, as it would put TENB back inside the pennant’s consolidation range and weaken the breakout signal. Holding above these support levels would help preserve the bullish setup and keep the higher price targets in focus.

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About the Author

Bruce PowersSenior Analyst

With over 20 years of experience in financial markets, Bruce is a seasoned finance MBA and CMT® charter holder. Having worked as head of trading strategy at hedge funds and a corporate advisor for trading firms, Bruce shares his expertise in futures to retail investors, providing actionable insights through both technical and fundamental analyses.

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