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US Indices Forecast – Bullish Flags Trigger Breakouts Across S&P 500 and NASDAQ

By: 
Christopher Lewis

The US indices are a bit mixed in early trading on Friday, as we head into yet another uncertain weekend from a geopolitical risk standpoint.

NASDAQ 100 Technical Analysis

Nasdaq 100 daily chart showing the index trading near 30,132, above both the 50-day and 200-day EMAs, after clearing the key 30,000 resistance level.
The Nasdaq 100 pushes to 30,132, breaking above the 30,000 level with both EMAs trailing below. Source: TradingView

The NASDAQ 100 is slightly positive during premarket trading on Friday as we are above the 30,000 level, an area that I anticipated as being resistance earlier this week. Now that we’ve broken above there, it’s a good, healthy sign.

There’s a lot of noise between here and 30,600, so it’s not like it’s a clear shot, but it does look a lot like a bullish pennant just broke to the upside over the last 24 hours. Tech stocks, of course, are still going through some earnings and the questions about the AI world, but at the moment, it looks like the buyers might be in control.

Dow Jones 30 Technical Analysis

Dow Jones daily chart showing the index trading near 53,736, above both the 50-day and 200-day EMAs, consolidating just below the 54,000 level.
The Dow trades at 53,736, holding above both EMAs and the 53,000 support level, with 54,000 as nearby resistance. Source: TradingView

The Dow Jones 30 is slightly negative in premarket trading, but within a very tight range. It’s not as if it’s falling apart. Ultimately, it looks like it’s still in the middle of consolidation after that big shot higher a couple of weeks ago.

The 54,000 level continues to offer resistance, but has been broken previously, so one would have to question exactly how resistant this will be. Still very much in an uptrend, just looks like it’s working off some of that excess momentum.

S&P 500 Technical Analysis

S&P 500 daily chart showing the index trading near 7,813, above both the 50-day and 200-day EMAs, after breaking out of a consolidation range between 7,300 and 7,600.
The S&P 500 rallies to 7,813, breaking above both EMAs and its prior consolidation range near 7,500. Source: TradingView

The S&P 500 is basically flat at the open after closing at an all-time high during the previous session here on Thursday going into Friday. So, the Friday session will be interesting to watch, and will it be an extension of the bullish pressure that we had seen previously?

Ultimately, this is a market that has been flagging, much like the NASDAQ 100, and much like the NASDAQ 100, it has broken out of that flag, a very bullish technical pattern. This could be a good sign given enough time.

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About the Author

Christopher LewisSenior Analyst

Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.

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