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US Stock Market Forecast: S&P 500 and Nasdaq Eye Breakout

By: 
Christopher Lewis

US indices are just a touch positive in premarket trading, ahead of the PPI numbers.

NASDAQ 100 Technical Analysis

Nasdaq 100 daily chart showing the index trading near 29,756, above both the 50-day and 200-day EMAs, approaching the 30,000 resistance level.
The Nasdaq 100 trades at 29,756, holding above both EMAs and eyeing the key 30,000 resistance level. Source: TradingView

The Nasdaq 100 has rallied just a little bit during the early part of the Thursday session as we continue to see a general upward grind higher.

Ultimately, this is a market that is trying to break above the 30,000 level, and the ascending triangle at the top of a pole—maybe some type of flag—is a good sign from a technical analysis standpoint, but we are in the midst of earnings.

Dow Jones 30 Technical Analysis

Dow Jones daily chart showing the index trading near 53,892, above both the 50-day and 200-day EMAs, after breaking above the 54,000 level before pulling back slightly.
The Dow trades at 53,892, holding above both EMAs and consolidating near the 53,000–54,000 zone. Source: TradingView

The Dow Jones 30 is sitting just below the 54,000 level. This, of course, is a large round, psychologically significant figure and an area we’ve been hanging around for a minute now.

So with that being the case, it’s likely that the market is just looking for some type of external factor to get moving. We do have PPI a little later; that could be it. We’ll just wait and see, but we’re still very much in an uptrend.

S&P 500 Technical Analysis

S&P 500 daily chart showing the index trading near 7,770, above both the 50-day and 200-day EMAs, after breaking out of a consolidation range between 7,300 and 7,600.
The S&P 500 surges to 7,770, breaking above both EMAs and its prior consolidation range near 7,500. Source: TradingView

The S&P 500 looks like it is trying to rally a bit in the early part of the trading session. If we can clear the 7800 level, that could kick off an attempted completion of the measured move from the previous consolidation, which was to the 7900 level.

Ultimately, there’s really not much in this chart that tells me the S&P 500 is something that is struggling. It looks pretty good here. And, of course, PPI could be a factor. Perhaps traders continue to see foreign inflows into the United States, some of the highest amounts of inflows we’ve seen in ages. Therefore, the S&P 500 would be a beneficiary, all things being equal.

S&P 500 Price Forecast

Every new S&P 500 analysis as it publishes, today's technical signal and key levels, live price — on one page.

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About the Author

Christopher LewisSenior Analyst

Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.

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