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Bitcoin Price Prediction – Bulls Need to Revisit $45,000 to Avoid another Sell-off and sub-$40,000

By:
Bob Mason
Published: Sep 21, 2021, 10:19 UTC

It's been a choppy start to the day for Bitcoin and the broader market. A Bitcoin return to $45,000, however, would signal the beginnings of a rebound from Monday's sell-off.

Group of golden Bitcoin coins arranged in a grid

In this article:

After Monday’s broad-based crypto sell-off, it’s been a particularly choppy morning.

At the time of writing, Bitcoin, BTC to USD, was up by 0.19% to $43,106.0.

A choppy start to the day saw Bitcoin slid to an early morning intraday low $40,255.0 before finding support.

Bitcoin fell through the 38.2% FIB of $41,592 and the first major support level at $41,286.

Steering clear of sub-$40,000 levels, however, Bitcoin rose to a late morning intraday high $43,444.0.

While breaking back through the first major support level and the 38.2% FIB, Bitcoin fell short of the major resistance levels.

BTCUSD 210921 Hourly Chart

The Rest of the Pack

It has also been a mixed morning for the broader crypto market.

Through the morning, Crypto.com Coin was down by 2.50% to buck the morning trend.

While choppy, it’s been a relatively bullish morning for the rest of the majors, however.

At the time of writing, Bitcoin Cash SV was up by 9.87% to lead the way, with Polkadot rising by 4.54%.

Binance Coin (+1.87%), Cardano’s ADA (+1.89%), Chainlink (+1.06%), Ethereum (+2.50%), Litecoin (+1.94%), and Ripple’s XRP (+2.47%) trailed the front runners, however.

Through the early hours, the crypto total market cap fell to an early morning low $1,803bn before rising to a high $1,959bn. At the time of writing, the total market cap stood at $1,940bn.

Bitcoin’s dominance rose to an early morning high 42.40% before falling to a low 41.74%. At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s dominance stood at 41.87%.

For the Afternoon Ahead

Bitcoin would need to move through the $44,306 pivot to bring the first major resistance level at $46,046 into play.

Support from the broader market will be needed, however, for Bitcoin to break back through to $45,000 levels.

Barring a broad-based crypto rebound, resistance at $45,000 would likely leave Bitcoin short of the first major resistance level.

In the event of an extended rally through the afternoon, Bitcoin could test resistance at the 23.6% FIB of $50,473 before any pullback. The second major resistance level sits at $49,066.

Failure to move through the $44,306 pivot would bring the 38.2% FIB of $41,592 and the first major support level at $41,286 back into play.

Barring an extended sell-off through the afternoon, however, Bitcoin should avoid sub-$40,000 support levels. The second major support level sits at $39,546.

Looking beyond the support and resistance levels, we saw the 50 EMA pullback from the 100 and the 200 EMAs through the morning.

We also saw the 100 EMA pullback from the 200 EMA, also a bearish signal.

Through the 2nd half of the day, a flattening of the 50 EMA on the 100 and 200 EMAs would provide much-needed support.

Key through the late morning and early afternoon Bitcoin would be to move through the day’s pivot to $45,000 levels, however, to support the broader market.

About the Author

Bob Masonauthor

With over 20 years of experience in the finance industry, Bob has been managing regional teams across Europe and Asia and focusing on analytics across both corporate and financial institutions. Currently he is covering developments relating to the financial markets, including currencies, commodities, alternative asset classes, and global equities.

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