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Sales, Earnings, and Institutional Support – How Brinker’s Up 58% YTD

By
Lucas Downey
Published: Aug 7, 2026, 13:00 GMT+00:00

Brinker International, Inc. (EAT) shares up 3,036% since institutions first bought big in 1993.

Trading charts on screens and Wall Street in the background

EAT owns, develops, and franchises the Chili’s Grill and Bar and Maggiano’s Little Italy restaurant brands. The company’s third-quarter fiscal 2026 report showed quarterly revenue of $1.47 billion (a 3.2% year-over-year gain), diluted per-share earnings of $2.90 (a 9% jump), and reiterated 2026 guidance of up to $5.82 billion and $10.85 in revenue and EPS, respectively. The company reports again on Aug. 12.

It’s no wonder EAT shares are up 58% so far this year – and they could rise more. MoneyFlows data shows how Big Money investors are again betting heavily on the stock

Brinker Brings Big Money to the Table

Institutional volumes reveal plenty. Over the last year, EAT has enjoyed strong investor demand, which we believe to be institutional support.

Each green bar signals unusually large volumes in EAT shares. They reflect our proprietary inflow signal, pushing the stock higher:

Steady institutional inflows since June are driving EAT higher – it’s up 58% so far in 2026. Source: www.moneyflows.com

Plenty of discretionary names are under accumulation right now. But there’s a powerful fundamental story happening with Brinker.

Brinker Fundamental Analysis

Institutional support and a healthy fundamental backdrop make this company worth investigating. As you can see, EAT has had strong sales and earnings growth:

  • 3-year sales growth rate (+12.5%)
  • 3-year earnings growth rate (+61.5%)

Source: FactSet

Also, EPS is estimated to ramp higher this year by +16.7%.

Now it makes sense why the stock has been powering to new heights. EAT has a track record of strong financial performance.

Marrying great fundamentals with our proprietary software has found some big winning stocks over the long term.

Brinker has been a top-rated stock at MoneyFlows. That means the stock has unusual buy pressure and growing fundamentals. We have a ranking process that showcases stocks like this on a weekly basis.

It’s made the rare Outlier 20 report 41 times since 1993, gaining 3,036%. The blue bars below show when EAT was a top pick in the last year…Big Money buys push prices higher:

Since the first of four outlier inflows in quick succession, EAT shares are up 29.6%. Source: www.moneyflows.com

Tracking unusual volumes reveals the power of money flows.

This is a trait that most outlier stocks exhibit…the best of the best. Big Money demand drives stocks upward.

Brinker Price Prediction

The EAT rally isn’t new at all. Big Money buying in the shares is signaling to take notice. Given the historical gains in share price and strong fundamentals, this stock could be worth a spot in a diversified portfolio.

Disclosure: the author holds no position in EAT at the time of publication.

If you are a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA) or are a serious investor, take your investing to the next level, learn more about the MoneyFlows process here.

About the Author

Lucas Downeycontributor

Lucas is a well-versed equity investor and educator. He currently is co-founder of research and analytics firm, MAPsignals.com, which focuses on finding outlier stocks by following the Big Money.

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