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US Indices Forecast – Post-Fed Rebound Tests Key EMA Support Levels

By: 
Christopher Lewis

The US indices continue to be noisy, but in early trading on Thursday, it's been positive.

NASDAQ 100 Technical Analysis

Daily NAS100 chart at 28,001, dropping toward its 200-day EMA (26,784) after breaking below its 50-day EMA.
NAS100 falls to 28,001, heading toward its 200-day EMA. Source: TradingView

The Nasdaq 100 bounced a bit during early trading on Thursday as the 27,000 level has offered a bit of a floor. The question at this point in time is whether or not we can continue the momentum that we had seen previously. Ultimately, I think this is a market that is going to continue to be noisy, but it is worth noting that we have also just gotten pretty close to the 200-day EMA, so a technical bounce did make a certain amount of sense.

Dow Jones 30 Technical Analysis

Daily US30 chart at 51,905, pulling back to its 50-day EMA after easing from 53,000 resistance, above a rising 200-day EMA.
US30 slips to 51,905, testing its 50-day EMA below 53,000. Source: TradingView

The Dow Jones 30 is trying to bounce from the 50-day EMA, and so far on Thursday it is doing so in the premarket. The 52,000 level would be an area that people will be watching fairly closely, as it had previously been significant support and resistance. Market memory suggests that it will do something. We’ll have to wait and see whether or not that holds up. Pretty ugly day on Wednesday, but the Federal Reserve interest rate decision days can often be noisy and even wrong as far as what the direction is, so I keep an open mind with this one.

S&P 500 Technical Analysis

Daily SP500 chart at 7,410.25, testing an ascending triangle support line on its 50-day EMA, above a rising 200-day EMA.
SP500 holds at 7,410.25, testing triangle support at its 50-day EMA. Source: TradingView

The S&P 500 fell pretty hard on Wednesday. Thursday looks like it is trying to recover. This is interesting for me because we had been forming an ascending triangle, and the ascending triangle, of course, got broken during the Wednesday session. So now, we have to ask: are we just forming a rectangle? That would just be a continuation of most of what we’ve been doing since summer started in North America.

So really at this point in time, it looks like the 7,300 level is offering support. The question is: can we break through the previous uptrend line on the ascending triangle without any issues? If we can, then that’s a good sign. Today could be very interesting for the S&P 500. Certainly, it looks like it is trying to come roaring back.

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About the Author

Christopher LewisSenior Analyst

Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.

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