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U.S. Dollar Moves Higher As GDP Growth Rate Beats Estimates: Analysis For EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY

By: 
Vladimir Zernov
EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY Forecasts

Key Points:

  • EUR/USD pulled back as Germany's Inflation Rate increased to 3.3%.
  • USD/CAD climbed above the 1.4200 level amid falling demand for commodity-related currencies.
  • USD/JPY remained stuck below the 157.50 level as traders focused on economic reports from Japan.

U.S. Dollar Stays Strong As GDP Growth Rate Exceeds Analyst Estimates

DXY 300926 4h Chart
DXY 300926 4h Chart

U.S. Dollar Index is trying to gain upside momentum as traders react to the better-than-expected GDP Growth Rate report. The report showed that GDP Growth Rate was +2.2% in the second quarter, compared to analyst forecast of +1.5%.

Traders also focused on Personal Spending and Personal Income reports. Personal Spending increased by +0.9% month-over-month in August, compared to analyst consensus of +0.8%. Personal Income grew by +0.2%, compared to analyst consensus of +0.4%.

U.S. Dollar Index is moving towards the resistance level at 101.50 – 101.65. In case U.S. Dollar Index manages to settle above the 101.65 level, it will move towards the next resistance at 102.35 – 102.50. RSI is in the moderate territory, so there is plenty of room to gain additional upside momentum in case the right catalysts emerge.

EUR/USD Tests Support At 1.1335 – 1.1350

EUR/USD 300926 4h Chart
EUR/USD 300926 4h Chart

EUR/USD is mostly flat as traders focus on inflation data from Germany. Inflation Rate increased from 2.9% in August to 3.3% in September, compared to analyst consensus of 3.2%.

Germany’s Retail Sales decreased by -0.4% year-over-year in August, while analysts expected that they would grow by +0.1%.

EUR/USD continues its attempts to settle below the support level at 1.1335 – 1.1350. If EUR/USD manages to settle below the 1.1335 level, it will move towards the next support level, which is located in the 1.1250 – 1.1265 range.

GBP/USD Tests Resistance At 1.3285 – 1.3300

GBP/USD 300926 4h Chart
GBP/USD 300926 4h Chart

GBP/USD gained ground as traders bet that the new UK budget, which will be presented in October, will provide fiscal discipline.

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From the technical point of view, GBP/USD made an attempt to settle above the resistance level at 1.3285 – 1.3300 but lost momentum and pulled back. If GBP/USD manages to settle above the 1.3300 level, it will head towards the next resistance at 1.3400 – 1.3415.

USD/CAD Moves Higher As Rally Continues

USD/CAD 300926 4h Chart
USD/CAD 300926 4h Chart

USD/CAD tests new highs as traders react to the pullback in precious metals markets. Other commodity-related currencies are also losing ground in today’s trading session.

If USD/CAD stays above the 1.4200 level, it will head towards the nearest resistance, which is located in the 1.4235 – 1.4250 range. A move above the 1.4250 level will push USD/CAD towards the 1.4300 level.

USD/JPY Rebounds From Session Lows As Treasury Yields Rise

USD/JPY 300926 4h Chart
USD/JPY 300926 4h Chart

USD/JPY gained some ground as traders reacted to weaker-than-expected economic reports from Japan.

Japan’s Retail Sales increased by +2.7% year-over-year in August, compared to analyst forecast of +3.3%. Industrial Production decreased by -1.7% month-over-month in August, while analysts expected that it would grow by +1.7%.

Traders also focused on dynamics of debt markets. The yield of 30-year Treasuries tested new highs, climbing above the 5.64% level. The yield of 10-year Treasuries moved above the 5.28% level.

The technical picture remains unchanged as USD/JPY is stuck below the 50 MA at 157.56. If USD/JPY moves above the 50 MA, it will head towards the nearest resistance level at 158.00 – 158.50. A successful test of this level will push USD/JPY towards the next resistance at 160.00 – 160.50.

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About the Author

Vladimir ZernovFutures Trading Expert

Vladimir is an independent trader, with over 18 years of experience in the financial markets. His expertise spans a wide range of instruments like stocks, futures, forex, indices, and commodities, forecasting both long-term and short-term market movements.

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